English Premier League 2024/25 Matchweek 14 – Betting tips & Predictions

The Premier League’s festive period is officially here. Games are coming thick and fast and the top teams are starting to separate themselves from the pack. Liverpool lead the way and are now the clear betting sites favorite, eight points ahead of Arsenal and 11 ahead of Man City.

To help you get ready for this week full of games, we have EPL predictions, betting tips, and best bets for every Matchweek 14 fixture, including the huge Arsenal vs. Manchester United match on Thursday morning.

Odds by Playup

Portman Road, 6:30 AM, Wednesday, December 4

Ipswich Town and Crystal Palace are very much at the wrong end of the table. They both come into this match level on points (9), making this fixture a relegation six-pointer in every sense of the term.

Palace are slight favourites according to the EPL betting odds, but we can’t see much separating these teams on Wednesday.

Ipswich have failed to win any of their six home matches this season and actually have a better points per match record on the road. Palace are the opposite. Oliver Glasner’s side have the third-worst road record in the league and have yet to win a match away from Selhurst Park.

Goals-wise, both have similar scoring records, but Palace are much better defensively. The Eagles have conceded just 18 goals compared to Ipswich’s 24.

Our EPL predictions see there being goals here, but not enough for either side to win outright.

Ipswich Town vs. Crystal Palace prediction: Ipswich 2-2 Palace

Bookmaker	Tip	Odds
	Double Chance 1 - Ipswich WIN or DRAW	$1.55
	OVER 2.5 Goals	$1.93
	Both Teams To Score - YES	$1.72

Predicted Lineups

Ipswich: Muric; H. Clarke, O’Shea, Burgess, Davis; Morsy, Cajuste; Hutchinson, Chaplin, Szmodics; Delap

Crystal Palace: Henderson; Chalobah, Lacroix, Guehi; Munoz, Devenny, Lerma, Mitchell; Sarr, Mateta, Eze

King Power Stadium, 7:15 AM, Wednesday, December 4

Leicester City come into this match with the worst form in the Premier League. The Foxes have lost four of their last five and were embarrassed 4-1 by Brentford last weekend. West Ham also suffered a terrible defeat, losing 2-5 to Arsenal at home.

Foxes fans will be hoping they will benefit from a new manager bounce with Ruud van Nistelrooy taking over for this match. Hammers boss Julen Lopetegui, meanwhile, could lose his job with a loss here.

Based on the numbers though, West Ham should win this and Lopetegui should be safe for another week. The Hammers created 1.51 xG against Arsenal, one of the best defences in the league. Leicester have one of the worst. The Hammers created nearly 4 xG versus Ipswich, who have similar defensive metrics to the Foxes.

Leicester vs. West Ham prediction: Leicester 1-2 West Ham

Bookmaker	Tip	Odds
	West Ham To WIN	$2.40
	OVER 2.5 Goals	$1.72
	Both Teams To Score - YES	$1.58

Predicted Lineups

Leicester: Hermansen; Faes, Coady, Vestergaard; Justin, Soumare, Ndidi, Thomas; Buonanotte, Daka, Mavididi

West Ham: Fabianski; Wan-Bissaka, Todibo, Kilman, Emerson; Soucek, Paqueta; Bowen, Soler, Summerville; Antonio

Goodison Park, 6:30 AM, Thursday, December 5

Our EPL predictions earlier this season backed Everton and Wolves to be fine this season. Now we’re not so sure.

After losing 4-0 to Manchester United, Everton are off to their worst start in 30 years (excluding last season when they had a points deduction). The Toffees have scored just one goal in their last five matches.

Wolves had a chance to extend their gap from the bottom three last weekend. Instead, they lost 2-4 to Bournemouth at home and find themselves in the bottom three yet again. Gary O’Neil’s side have now conceded two or more goals in 11 of their 16 home games in 2024.

It’s hard to back either of these sides given their respective forms, but we think Wolves will do well here. Everton’s back line is horrendous and too old to count on when games are coming thick and fast. Wolves’ defence isn’t much better, but O’Neil’s team have the third best attack in the league away from home.

Everton vs. Wolves prediction: Everton 0-1 Wolves

Bookmaker	Tip	Odds
	Player To Be Shown A Card - Ashley Young	$3.55
	UNDER 2.5 Goals	$1.90
	Double Chance 2 - Wolves WIN or DRAW	$1.72

Predicted Lineups

Everton: Pickford; Young, Tarkowski, Branthwaite, Mykolenko; Doucoure, Gueye; Lindstrom, McNeil, Ndiaye; Calvert-Lewin

Wolves: Sa; Doherty, Lemina, Toti, Ait-Nouri; Andre, J. Gomes; Bellegarde, Cunha, R. Gomes; Strand Larsen

Etihad Stadium, 6:30 AM, Thursday, December 5

Manchester City’s inexplicable poor form continued last weekend with a 2-0 loss to Liverpool. Well, it’s not exactly inexplicable. Without Rodri, the Sky Blues look tired and overworked in midfield. Outside of Haaland up front, the entire squad lacks aggression.

Liverpool outshot Man City 10-1 in the first half. City's first shot came in the 39th minute. That is the longest they have had to wait for a shot in a match since 2010. Halaand was the only player in the starting lineup at Liverpool who had scored a Premier League goal this season.

We really want to say that Man City will shake off their poor form and get the win here, but we can’t overlook Forest. The Reds have the third-best record in the PL away from home and the league’s second best defence. They will not make things easy for City and could leave this match with at least a point.

Man City vs. Nottingham Forest prediction: Man City 1-1 Nottm Forest

Bookmaker	Tip	Odds
	Nottm Forest +1.5	$1.80
	UNDER 2.5 Goals	$2.40
	Both Teams To Score - YES	$1.83

Predicted Lineups

Man City: Emerson; Walker, Dias, Akanji, Ake; Silva, Lewis; Savio, De Bruyne, Doku; Haaland

Nottm Forest: Sels; Aina, Milenkovic, Murillo, Williams; Dominguez, Yates; Silva, Gibbs-White, Hudson-Odoi; Wood

St. James' Park, 6:30 AM, Thursday, December 5

With an eight-point lead over Arsenal and an 11-point gap between themselves and Man City, Liverpool now have one hand on the Premier League title. The Reds are unbeaten in their last 16 games, and capped off the toughest part of their schedule last weekend with an emphatic 2-0 win over Man City.

Newcastle, meanwhile, have been the definition of an up-and-down team this season. After rattling off three wins in a row against Chelsea, Arsenal, and Forest, Eddie Howe’s side lost 0-2 to West Ham and drew 1-1 with Palace.

If form holds, Newcastle could cause an upset this week. We don’t see it happening though. Liverpool are simply too good right now.

Cody Gakpo has scored six goals in his last seven games, and could start this match if Arne Slot rotates his side. Dominik Szoboszlai and Alexis Mac Allister are back at their best in midfield and Mo Salah is in prime form.

Newcastle vs. Liverpool prediction: Newcastle 1-2 Liverpool

Bookmaker	Tip	Odds
	Liverpool To WIN & OVER 1.5 Goals	$2.05
	Liverpool To Score 2+ Goals - YES	$1.60
	Both Teams To Score - YES	$1.55

Predicted Lineups

Newcastle: Pope; Livramento, Schar, Burn, Hall; Tonali, Guimaraes, Willock; Barnes, Isak, Gordon

Liverpool: Kelleher; Alexander-Arnold, Gomez, van Dijk, Robertson; Jones, Mac Allister; Salah, Szoboszlai, Gakpo; Diaz

St. Mary's Stadium, 6:30 AM, Thursday, December 5

Chelsea famously beat Southampton at St. Mary's 0-6 in the 2021/22 season, but the Saints have actually beaten Chelsea in their last two matches. Unfortunately for Russell Martin, we can’t see his side extending that streak on Thursday.

Enzo Maresca’s team come into this one following an emphatic 3-0 win over Aston Villa. Saints had an impressive draw against Btighton, but that result was more about how poor Brighton were than anything Southampton did.

Another worry for Southampton here is their depth. The club have three players suspended, including wonderkid Tyler Dibling and midfielder Flynn Downes, who scored the club’s only goal on Friday. Chelsea, on the other hand, have enough players to rotate their entire squad if they wanted to.

This should be an easy win for Maresca’s Blues.

Southampton vs. Chelsea prediction: Southampton 1-3 Chelsea

Bookmaker	Tip	Odds
	Chelsea -1.5	$1.87
	OVER 3.5 Goals	$2.05
	Anytime Goalscorer - Nicolas Jackson	$1.88

Predicted Lineups

Southampton: Lumley; Sugawara, Edwards, Stephens, Walker-Peters, Manning; Fraser, Aribo, Fernandes, Armstrong; Archer

Chelsea: Sanchez; Gusto, Badiashile, Colwill, Cucurella; Lavia, Caicedo; Madueke, Palmer, Sancho; Jackson

Emirates Stadium, 7:15 AM, Thursday, December 5

Manchester United picked their first Premier League win of the Ruben Amorim era last weekend with a 4-0 win over Everton. It was definitely a good result, but it’s also fair to say that the Toffees made it very easy for the Red Devils. Arsenal will not do the same this Thursday.

The Gunners destroyed West Ham in a 2-5 win at the London Stadium. That was the fifth time this calendar year that Arsenal had scored 5 goals or more in an away game. They’re obviously at home this weekend, but still are good money to score multiple goals. Arsenal scored 3 goals in each of their last three home matches against Man Utd.

Lisandro Martinez and Kobbie Mainoo will miss this game via suspension, which gives us even more confidence that this will be a convincing win at home for Arsenal.

Arsenal vs. Manchester United prediction: Arsenal 2-1 Man Utd

Bookmaker	Tip	Odds
	Arsenal To WIN & OVER 1.5 Goals	$1.65
	OVER 2.5 Goals	$1.60
	Both Teams To Score - YES	$1.75

Predicted Lineups

Arsenal: Raya; Timber, Saliba, Gabriel, Calafiori; Odegaard, Jorginho, Rice; Saka, Havertz, Martinelli

Man Utd: Onana; Mazraoui, de Ligt, Shaw; Diallo, Mount, Casemiro, Dalot; Rashford, Zirzkee, Fernandes

Villa Park, 7:15 AM, Thursday, December 5

Following their 3-0 defeat to Chelsea, Aston Villa are winless in their last eight fixtures. Like Newcastle last year, the Villains can’t seem to cope with midweek Champions League fixtures. The club have lost each of their last four matches following a Champions League game. This is the worst run they have had under Unai Emery.

Brentford, on the other hand, have just one loss in their last five matches. The Bees are eighth in the table and in the race for a Conference League place next season. Brentford’s overall record is a bit misleading though.

Thomas Frank’s team has the best home record in the league (6W, 1D, 0L). However, they have the second-worst away record (0W, 1D, 5L). Only Southampton are worse on the road.

We predict that Villa will struggle again with the short rest, but they have enough talent to hold off Brentford, especially with the home-field advantage of Villa Park.

Aston Villa vs. Brentford prediction: Aston Villa 2-1 Brentford

Bookmaker	Tip	Odds
	OVER 2.5 Goals	$1.55
	Aston Villa To WIN	$1.77
	Both Teams To Score - YES	$1.52

Predicted Lineups

Aston Villa: Olsen; Cash, Konsa, Torres, Digne; Kamara, Tielemans; Bailey, Rogers, McGinn; Watkins

Brentford: Flekken; van den Berg, Collins, Pinnock, Lewis-Potter; Norgaard, Janelt; Mbeumo, Damsgaard, Schade; Wissa

Craven Cottage, 6:30 AM, Friday, December 6

After blowing a 1-0 lead to Southampton in their 1-1 draw at St. Mary’s on Friday, Brighton have now thrown away 12 points in their Premier League this season.

This is nothing new for the Seagulls. For years they have overperformed against the Big 6 and struggled against ‘smaller sides.’ Fulham is a perfect example of this. Brighton have played the Cottagers eight times in the Premier League without a win.

With Emil Smith Rowe in attack and players like Antony Robinson taking massive steps up this season, this Fulham team is a lot better than some of the ones Brighton have struggled to beat.

Fulham have lost just one of their last five matches and Brighton haven’t kept a clean sheet in six. The Cottagers should get at least a point here.

Fulham vs. Brighton prediction: Fulham 1-1 Brighton

Bookmaker	Tip	Odds
	Fulham Goals Range - Between 1 And 2 Inclusive	$1.60
	Draw No Bet - Fulham	$1.72
	UNDER 3.5 Goals	$1.50

Predicted Lineups

Fulham: Leno; Tete, Diop, Bassey, Robinson; Pereira, Berge; Iwobi, Smith Rowe, Nelson; Muniz

Brighton: Verbruggen; Veltman, van Hecke, Dunk; Estupinan; Wieffer, Ayari; Rutter, Pedro, Mitoma; Welbeck

Vitality Stadium, 7:15 AM, Friday, December 6

Ange Postecoglou’s Tottenham Hotspur put the nail in the coffin on Man City’s title challenges two weeks ago with a 4-0 win at the Etihad. Since then, in typical Spurs fashion, they have struggled.

Tottenham have drawn 2-2 with Roma in the Europa League and 1-1 with Fulham in PL Matchweek 13. The Lilywhites conceded 32 shots combined in those matches. Backup goalie Fraser Forster did well to keep those games close, but his form won’t last forever.

Bournemouth are one of the best attacking teams in the league. They have taken the fifth most shots and created the fifth most xG. Their actual goals lag behind their xG. This could be a match where they score multiple goals to close that gap.

Tottenham have scored 2+ goals in each of their last four matches against the Cherries, so they should score on Friday too. Our predictions see this one being a shootout, with coming out narrowly on top.

Bournemouth vs. Tottenham prediction: Bournemouth 2-3 Tottenham

Bookmaker	Tip	Odds
	Draw No Bet - Tottenham	$1.80
	OVER 3.5 Goals	$2.02
	Tottenham Hotspur To Score 2+ Goals - YES	$1.72

Predicted Lineups

Bournemouth: Arrizabalaga; Smith, Zabarnyi, Senesi, Kerkez; Cook, Christie; Semenyo, Kluivert, Tavernier; Evanilson

Tottenham: Forster; Porro, Dragusin, Davies, Udogie; Sarr, Bissouma, Kulusevski; Johnson, Solanke, Son

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