EPL 2023/24 Matchweek 4 – Betting tips & Predictions

EPL Matchweek 4 looks to be the most exciting of the season so far. The table is starting to take shape, which means many of these matchups already have added stakes. Arsenal vs. Manchester United has huge implications for the title race. Liverpool vs. Villa could tell us whether Liverpool have what it takes to challenge Man City and Arsenal. Keep reading to see our EPL Matchweek 4 picks and predictions for those matches and every other Matchweek 4 fixture.

Odds by Playup

Kenilworth Road, 5:00 AM, Saturday, September 2

Luton Town once again showed why they are expected to be the worst team in the Premier League this season last week against Chelsea. The Hatters lost 3-0 last week to Chelsea at home in an overall dreadful performance. 

West Ham continued their great form to start the season with a second consecutive 3-1 victory. West Ham went down to the South Coast and emerged victorious against a high-flying Brighton side. The result was another David Moyes masterclass in counter-attacking football. 

Unfortunately for Moyes, his Hammers side will not get many counter attacking opportunities against Luton. Rob Edwards’ Luton side will be looking to sit back and counter, like West Ham do against stronger sides. It will be a unique challenge for West Ham, but we back them to do well, especially if new signing Mohammed Kudus comes into the side right away. 

Predicted Lineups

Luton Town: Kaminski; Kabore, Burke, Lockyer, Andersen, Giles; Chong, Nakamba, Barkley; Adebayo, Morris

West Ham: Areola; Coufal, Zouma, Ogbonna, Emerson; Alvarez, Ward-Prowse, Paqueta; Bowen, Antonio, Benrahma

Bramall Lane, 9:30 PM, Saturday, September 2

Everton will play in a relegation six-pointer for the second week in a row. Evertonian fans will be hoping for a much better performance this week than the poor showing they saw against Wolves last week. Sheffield United, meanwhile, hung on against Man City last week and nearly came away with a point, if not for a late goal from Rodri. 

What to expect this week is hard to say. Neither club can score and both play turgid defensive football that can easily be exposed by better sides.  We’ll either see a shootout or a dull low-scoring affair on Sunday. We think the latter scenario is more likely. 

Another 1-0 or even a 0-0 is in the cards for this one. Even with injuries to key players, like Dominic Calvert-Lewin, Everton have a talent advantage over Sheffield United, so we give them a slight edge in this one.

Predicted Lineups

Sheffield United: Foderingham; Ahmedhodžić, Egan, Robinson; Baldock, Souza, Norwood, Hamer, Osborn; McBurnie, Traore

Everton: Pickford; Patterson, Tarkowski, Keane, Young; Gueye, Garner, Doucoure, Onana, Dobbin; Maupay

Gtech Community Stadium, 12:00 AM, Sunday, September 3

Bournemouth looked impressive last week against Tottenham, but Spurs’ superior talent showed through and the Cherries lost 2-0. Brentford fared a little better than Bournemouth last week in their 1-1 draw against Palace at home. 

According to most betting sites, this should be a one-sided affair. For example, PlayUp gives Brentford 1.60 odds while giving Bouremouth just 4.75. We think this is a little unfair to Bournemouth, but the bookies are right to back Brentford in this one. 

Bryan Mbeumo and Yoane Wissa’s goal scoring ability can cause pretty much any team in the Premier League problems. Bournemouth’s Dominic Solanke is a fine striker, but he will have a tough time against Thomas Frank’s well-drilled defence. With that being said, Bournemouth’s Andoni Iraola is a very good manager in his own right, and this could be a close match.

Predicted Lineups

Brentford: Flekken; Hickey, Collins, Pinnock, Henry; Jensen, Norgaard, Janelt; Mbuemo, Wissa, Schade

Bournemouth: Neto; Aarons, Zabarnyi, Kelly, Kerkez; Christie, Rothwell; Brooks, Billing, Kluivert; Solanke

Turf Moor, 12:00 AM, Sunday, September 3

Burnley had a chance to show the world what they are all about last week against Aston Villa. The Villains were coming into that match on short rest and with numerous injuries. Unfortunately for Burnley, they could not take advantage of those factors and lost 3-1. 

Tottenham’s Angeball revolution took another step forward last week with a 2-0 win over Bournemouth. Based on that performance, and Burnley’s shortcomings, this should be another easy victory for Tottenham. 

Vincent Kompany’s Burnley are willing to play from the back, which is very commendable for a team of their stature. This is something that could come to haunt them against Spurs though. 

Tottenham now are a high-pressing team under their new manager. Any Burnley mistake at the back will create a potential scoring opportunity for Spurs. Tottenham should win big here.

Predicted Lineups

Burnley: Trafford; Roberts, Al-Dakhil, O'Shea, Delcroix; Benson, Cullen, Berge, Koleosho; Foster, Rodriguez

Tottenham: Vicario; Porro, Romero, van de Ven, Udogie; Sarr, Bissouma; Kulusevski, Maddison, Son; Richarlison

Stamford Bridge, 12:00 AM, Sunday, September 3

Chelsea broke their goalscoring rut last week with a 3-0 demolition against Luton Town. Nottingham Forest put on a show of their own against Manchester United in a 3-2 loss at Old Trafford where Forest put up two goals in four minutes. 

As fun as it would be, we do not expect another goal glut for Forest against Chelsea. The major reason for this is Chelsea’s midfield. The Blue’s defensive duo of Moises Caicedo and Enzo Fernandez should do a better job dealing with Forest counter attacks than United’s open midfield. 

Even if Chelsea’s midfield does have problems, the Blues should be alright. Forest got up 2-0 early against ManU, which afforded them the luxury of being able to play defensive and attempt to hold onto their lead early. The chances of this happening again against Chelsea are very low. Chelsea should win this one. 

Predicted Lineups

Chelsea: Sanchez; Disasi, Silva, Colwill; Gusto, Fernandez, Caicedo, Chilwell; Sterling, Gallagher; Jackson

Nottingham Forest: Turner; Montiel, Boly, McKenna, Aina; Danilo, Kouyate, Yates; Johnson, Awoniyi, Gibbs-White

Etihad Stadium, 12:00 AM, Sunday, September 3

Manchester City survived a late scare against Sheffield United last week and came away with a 2-1 victory. Fulham surprised many and managed to bag a point against Arsenal in a 2-2 draw. 

Unfortunately for Fulham, we don’t see them replicating their performance against Arsenal this week at Man City. The Citizens are just too good, even without Pep Guardiola who is away from the team recovering from back surgery.

The only way we see Fulham getting anything from this game is if they make it ugly. However, that can only get a club so far, especially against a squad like Manchester City who has so much firepower. Fulham are additionally harmed by the fact their physical play red card in the game prior leaves them without starting centre back Calvin Bassey.

Man City should win this one, and probably by a lot.

Predicted Lineups

Man City: Ederson; Walker, Dias, Ake, Gvardiol; Rodri, Kovacic; Foden, Alvarez, Grealish; Haaland

Fulham: Leno; Tete, Diop, Ream, Robinson; Pereira, Palhinha, Lukic, Wilson, Jimenez, De Cordova-Reid

Amex Stadium, 2:30 AM, Sunsay, September 3

Brighton suffered a humbling 3-1 defeat against West Ham at home last week. They will surely be looking to set the record straight against Newcastle, who themselves will be looking to correct the record following a 2-1 loss versus Liverpool. 

Part of the reason for these clubs’ losses last week was because they were playing teams who exploited their weaknesses. Both Liverpool and West Ham are very good counter attacking teams, which are designed perfectly to combat ball dominant, attacking squads like Newcastle and Brighton.

This week’s match between these sides should be an interesting clash of similar styles. We expect a close match with lots of goals. Newcastle have the better defence overall, so we thought about giving them the slight edge, but Brighton are at home, and the Seagulls tend to bounce back after disappointing losses, so we think it would be safer to bet on a draw. 

Predicted Lineups

Brighton: Steele; Veltman, van Hecke, Dunk, Estupinan; Dahoud, Gross; March, Pedro, Mitoma; Welbeck

Newcastle: Pope; Trippier, Schar, Botman, Burn; Joelinton, Tonali, Guimaraes; Almiron, Isak, Gordon

Selhurst Park, 11:00 PM, Sunday, September 3

Wolves came away with a 1-0 victory against fellow relegation candidate Everton last week. Meanwhile, Palace earned a point from a one-all draw away at Brentford in their second London derby of the season. Between the two teams, Palace looked the more impressive side. 

Palace showed that they can still get quality chances and hold their own against better teams on the road. In the case of Wolves, they just managed to be better than Everton, which is not something that is particularly difficult in 2023. 

Palace should win this one. However, if the Wolves defence plays as well as it can, the Eagles may have some trouble scoring. Either way, we expect a low scoreline on Sunday. 

Predicted Lineups

Palace: Henderson; Ward, Andersen, Guehi, Mitchell; Doucoure, Lerma; Ayew, Eze, Schlupp; Edouard

Wolves: Sa; Semedo, Dawson, Kilman, Bueno; Neto, Gomes, Lemina, Nunes; Cunha, Silva

Anfield, 11:00 PM, Sunday, September 3

Liverpool pulled out a scrappy 2-1 victory against Newcastle away last week.  A red card for captain Virgil van Dijk in that match  means the Dutchman will be unavailable against Villa — though it has been suggested the Reds may make an appeal to have it overturned.

Aston Villa dispatched Burnley 3-1 courtesy of two goals from Matty Cash and one from Moussa Diaby. Despite their good performance, we think Villa will need to be at their best to get something against Liverpool. 

With that being said, Villa coming away with a point, or even all three points, is very possible this weekend. Van Dijk being out means Liverpool will have to turn to the untested centre back duo of Joel Matip and Joe Gomez. When you add in the defensive liability that is Trent Alexander-Arnold, Liverpool will be as vulnerable at the back as they have ever been. 

Liverpool may be the favourites, but Villa will likely cause them major problems, so we would not bet on it.

Predicted Lineups

Liverpool: Alisson; Alexander-Arnold, Matip, Gomez, Robertson; Szoboszlai, Mac Allister, Gakpo; Salah, Nunez, Diaz

Aston Villa: Olsen; Konsa, Carlos, Torres; Cash, Kamara, Luiz, Digne; Diaby, McGinn; Watkins

Emirates Stadium, 1:30 AM, Monday, September 4

For the second week in a row, the weekend’s marquee matchup comes at the end of the matchweek. Last week it was Newcastle vs. Liverpool. This week we have a great matchup between rivals Arsenal and Manchester United. 

Both teams played in games with lots of goals last weekend. ManU won 3-2 against Nottingham Forest. Arsenal gave up two goals in a 2-2 draw against Fulham. 

Because of last week’s score lines, it would be fair to expect more goals this weekend. We are inclined to go with this common-sense line of thinking. Manchester United and Arsenal scored a combined nine goals over two games last season. We expect more of the same this season. 

Arsenal should have the upper hand in this one. They are playing at home and seem to have a more settled lineup than the Red Devils.

Predicted Lineups

Arsenal: Ramsdale; White, Saliba, Tomiyasu; Partey, Rice, Odegaard, Havertz; Saka, Nketiah, Martinelli

Man Utd: Onana; Wan-Bissaka, Lindelof, Martinez, Dalot; Casemiro, Eriksen; Antony, Fernandes, Rashford; Martial

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