English Premier League 2024/25 Matchweek 6 – Betting tips & Predictions

After a thrilling Matchweek 5 with crazy red cards and results like Manchester City’s 2-2 draw with Arsenal, Matchweek 6 is here. It will be tough to beat last weekend, but we Chelsea vs. Brighton, Wolves vs. Liverpool, and Manchester United vs. Tottenham could be cracking fixtures in their own right. Keep reading to see our EPL predictions and betting tips for those games and every other EPL Matchweek 6 fixture.

Odds by Playup

St. James' Park, 9:30 PM, Saturday, September 28

Newcastle went to Craven Cottage last week on a six game winning streak against Fulham and came back with 0 points after a 3-1 loss to the Cottagers. They looked alright in attack, but Newcastle’s defence was very vulnerable. Eddie Howe’s side allowed Fulham to take 22 shots (11 on target), despite having just 38% possession.

The Magpies have allowed the sixth most xG in the league this season. All the teams below them are in the bottom half. Wolves, who are bottom of the Premier League table, are three places above Newcastle on the xG allowed chart. This does not bode well for their next match.

As disappointing as it was to drop points to Arsenal and have Rodri go out injured, Man City scored goals in that match. If the best defence in the EPL can’t stop Erling Haaland. Newcastle won’t be able to. This should be a 3-1 or 4-1 win for Man City.

Bookmaker	Tip	Odds
	Man City To WIN	$1.58
	Man City -1.5	$2.55
	OVER 3.5 Goals	$2.25

Predicted Lineups

Newcastle: Pope; Livramento, Schar, Burn, Hall; Joelinton, Guimaraes, Tonali; Gordon, Isak, Barnes

Man City: Ederson; Lewis, Dias, Akanji, Gvardiol; Silva, Kovacic; Savio, Gundogan, Doku; Haaland

Emirates Stadium, 12:00 AM, Sunday, September 29

After having to defend like their lives depended on it for an entire half against Man City last weekend, Arsenal will be tasked with breaking down Steve Cooper’s defensive Leicester team this weekend. Can they do it? Yeah, we think so. Probably pretty easily.

Leicester have impressed us so far. They have earned three points from three hard-fought draws and are currently out of the relegation zone in 15th place, but their attack is not good enough for the Premier League. Ipswich and Southampton are the only teams with fewer shots on target through five matches than Leicester. An aged Jamie Vardy and fringe Championship players won’t cut it.

Arsenal should win this match by at least two goals and keep the pressure on Man City in the EPL title race.

Bookmaker	Tip	Odds
	Arsenal -1.5	$1.55
	Arsenal WIN & Both Teams To Score - NO	$1.83
	UNDER 3,5 Goals	$1.63

Predicted Lineups

Arsenal: Raya; White, Saliba, Gabriel, Timber; Partey, Rice, Havertz; Saka, Jesus, Martinelli

Leicester: Hermansen; Justin, Faes, Okoli, Kristiansen; Winks, Ndidi; Ayew, Buonanotte, Mavididi; Vardy

Gtech Community Stadium, 12:00 AM, Sunday, September 29

Bar Crystal Palace, West Ham might be the most disappointing team in the Premier League so far this season. They have an exciting new manager and spent close to €150 million on players this offseason, but look worse than they did under David Moyes. The Hammers are 14th in the table with just five goals scored.

What’s worse is that we’re not sure when this run will end. Four of their next five opponents could arguably be the favourites against them. That includes Brentford this weekend.

The soccer betting world agrees with us on this. The Bees are betting favourites with almost all Australian betting sites in Australia, and for good reason. Brentford are just two points ahead of West Ham, but they’ve looked difficult to beat in almost every match. The same is not true for West Ham.

Our EPL predictions have this ending as a 1-1 draw, but we wouldn’t be surprised if either side eked out a win.

Bookmaker	Tip	Odds
	Brentford Goals Range - Between 1 & 2 Inclusive	$1.60
	Double Chance 2 - West Ham WIN or DRAW	$1.68
	Both Teams To Score - YES	$1.55

Predicted Lineups

Brentford: Flekken; Ajer, van den Berg, Pinnock, Collins; Janelt, Damsgaard, Yarmolyuk; Carvalho, Mbeumo, Schade

West Ham: Areola; Wan-Bissaka, Mavropanos, Kilman, Emerson; Rodriguez, Alvarez, Paqueta; Kudus, Bowen, Summerville

Stamford Bridge, 12:00 AM, Sunday, September 29

Chelsea vs. Brighton has quietly become one Premier League’s most intriguing rivalries. It’s not quite a derby, but with so many players and staff going from Brighton to Chelsea in past years. There is definitely some tension. Three of the last four matches between these sides have had a red card.

Speaking of red cards, Seagulls boss Fabian Hurzeler will miss this match after being sent off in Brighton’s 2-2 draw with Forest last week. Chelsea coach Enzo Maresca, meanwhile, stayed cool while his Blues battered West Ham 3-0.

Chelsea did the double over Brighton last year. Given the Seagulls’ trouble in transition and how deadly Cole Palmer has been springing counter attacks. Chelsea are good money to get another win here. 2-1 to the Blues is our Chelsea vs. Brighton prediction.

Bookmaker	Tip	Odds
	OVER 2.5 Goals	$1.50
	Both Teams To Score - YES	$1.50
	Chelsea To WIN	$1.68

Predicted Lineups

Chelsea: Sanchez; Fofana, Tosin, Colwill, Cucurella; Caicedo, Fernandez; Madueke, Palmer, Sancho; Jackson

Brighton: Verbruggen; Veltman, van Hecke, Dunk, Estupinan; Hinshelwood, Baleba; Minteh, Rutter, Mitoma; Welbeck

Goodison Park, 12:00 AM, Sunday, September 29

Everton threw away yet another lead last week in their 1-1 draw with Leicester. At least it was a one-goal lead this time and not two. The Toffees are making progress.

Crystal Palace also got a draw last week, albeit a much more impressive one being against Manchester United. On paper, it looked like the Eagles’ best defensive performance of the year, but that was largely thanks to some good saves by Dean Henderson, which you can’t count on every week.

Thankfully for Palace, Everton aren’t exactly in great goal-scoring form. Our predictions give Dyche’s side the edge though. Two of the last three matches between these teams have ended in a draw. Four of the last five have featured less than 2.5 goals. With both these teams struggling, we don’t see these trends changing soon.

Our Everton vs. Crystal Palace pick is 1-0 to Everton. UNDER 2.5 goals is another solid bet here.

Bookmaker	Tip	Odds
	Everton To WIN	$2.65
	UNDER 2.5 Goals	$1.93
	UNDER 11.5 Corners	$1.50

Predicted Lineups

Everton: Pickford; Garner, Tarkowski, Keane, Young; Mangala, Doucoure; Harrison, Iroegbunam, McNeil; Calvert-Lewin

Palace: Henderson; Lacroix, Guehi, Richards; Munoz, Wharton, Kamada, Mitchell; Nketiah, Eze; Mateta

The City Ground, 12:00 AM, Sunday, September 29

A lot of Premier League predictions pieces this week have called Nottingham Forest ‘overachievers’ who will come crashing down to Earth soon following their emotional 2-2 draw with Brighton. We agree generally, but are hesitant to overlook this side.

Forest were one of the best counter attacking teams in Europe last season. No EPL team scored more goals from counters and only five teams in Europe’s top five leagues created more xG from counter attacking situations than the Reds. With a solid defence and a better goalie now, Forest could go on to be a real force.

Fulham under Marco Silva are always tough to beat. They showed that last week in their 3-1 win over Newcastle at home. Away is a different story though. Fulham had one of the worst away records last season and lost this fixture last year 3-1.

Our pick for this year is a 1-0 Forest win.

Bookmaker	Tip	Odds
	Our pick for this year is a 1-0 Forest win	$1.77
	Our pick for this year is a 1-0 Forest win	$1.70
	Our pick for this year is a 1-0 Forest win	$2.00

Predicted Lineups

Forest: Sels; Aina, Milenkovis, Murillo, Moreno;  Hudson-Odoi, Ward-Prowse, Anderson, Elanga; Silva, Wood

Fulham: Leno; Tete, Andersen, Bassey, Robinson; Pereira, Lukic; Adama, Smith Rowe, Iwobi; Jimenez

Molineux Stadium, 2:30 AM, Sunday, September 29

Wolves are dreadful. There’s no other way to put it. Every time they show us something, they throw it away. That’s exactly what happened last week. Wolves took an early 1-0 lead against Villa, before conceding 3 goals in the last 25 minutes.

As bad as Wolves are, they somehow are not the betting sites’ biggest underdog this week. They probably should be though. Wolves’ only saving grace is that Liverpool have a midweek fixture against West Ham that could potentially tire them out.

Liverpool have won three of their last four matches against Wolves by two goals or more. We expect more of the same this weekend.

Bookmaker	Tip	Odds
	Liverpool To WIN & OVER 2.5 Goals	$1.80
	OVER 3.5 Goals	$2.15
	Liverpool -1.5	$1.95

Predicted Lineups

Wolves: Johnstone; Semedo, Bueno, Dawson, Ait-Nouri; Andre, Gomes, Lemina; Bellegarde, Strand Larsen, Cunha

Liverpool: Kelleher; Alexander-Arnold, Konate, Van Dijk, Robertson; Gravenberch, Mac Allister; Salah, Szbozlai, Diaz; Nunez

Portman Road, 11:00 PM, Sunday, September 29

Ipswich Town earned an impressive 1-1 draw against fellow relegation candidates Southampton last week, but this match is all about Aston Villa for us. PlayUp and other top soccer betting sites have Villa at $1.85 to win this match. That is incredible value.

Unai Emery and Aston Villa were even bigger favourites away at Leicester City. The Villains dominated that match, winning 2-1 with four times as many big chances and a full 1.1 xG more than the Foxes. For our money, Leicester are better at what Ipswich do than Ipswich is.

Villa are coming into this one following a busy schedule with midweek matches last week and this week. It could be ugly, tired soccer as a result but the Villains should have enough to get the win here.

Bookmaker	Tip	Odds
	Aston Villa To WIN	$1.85
	Aston Villa To WIN	$1.85
	Aston Villa To WIN	$1.85

Predicted Lineups

Ipswich: Muric; Tuanzebe, O’Shea, Greaves, Davis; Morsy, Cajuste, Burns, Hutchinson, Szmodics; Delap

Aston Villa: Martinez; Konsa, Carlos, Torres, Digne; Onana, Tielemans; Bailey, Rogers, Ramsey; Watkins

Old Trafford, 1:30 AM, Monday, September 30

Manchester United played arguably their best soccer this season against Palace in the first half last week, but only managed to get a 0-0 draw from the match. Spurs, meanwhile, got a much-needed 3-1 win over Brentford to get their season back on track.

Tottenham drew this fixture last season 2-2. As appealing as this score looks again this year, our predictions give a slight edge to Man Utd.

The Red Devils have scored two goals or more in six of their last seven matches against Spurs. This Tottenham back line might even be leakier than last years. They have conceded in five of their six competitive games this season and were the first to concede in four of their last five.

Another 2-2 draw is a fine bet if you want to back Big Ange, but our money is on Man Utd being a smidge more defensively sound and getting a 2-1 win.

Bookmaker	Tip	Odds
	Race To 2 Goals - Man Utd	$2.25
	Draw No Bet - Man Utd	$1.72
	UNDER 3.5 Goals	$1.75

Predicted Lineups

Man Utd: Onana; Mazraoui, de Ligt, Martinez, Dalot; Mainoo, Eriksen; Diallo, Fernandes, Garnacho; Zirkzee

Tottenham: Vicario; Porro, Romero, van de Ven, Udogie; Sarr, Bissouma; Johnson, Maddison, Son; Solanke

Vitality Stadium, 5:00 AM, Tuesday, October 1

In the first South Coast derby of the season, Bournemouth will host a struggling Southampton at the Vitality Stadium. As much as we want to see Saints build off their 1-1 draw with Ipswich last week to make the relegation battle interesting, we don’t see it happening this weekend.

At risk of sounding like a broken record, Southampton are all possession and no bite. Their goal last week was just their second of the season. Bournemouth aren’t elite goal-scorers either, but that suits them.

Andoni Iraola’s system involves ceding possession and pouncing in dangerous areas with complicated pressing traps. The Cherries have the fourth least possession in the league this season, but a top-half worthy expected goal differential.

Unless Southampton score early, this should be a comfortable 2-0 win for Bournemouth.

Bookmaker	Tip	Odds
	Bournemouth Goals Range - Between 1 & 2 Inclusive	$1.75
	UNDER 3.5 Goals	$1.58
	Bournemouth To WIN	$1.60

Predicted Lineups

Bournemouth: Kepa; Araujo, Zabarnyi, Huijsen, Kerkez; Cook, Christie; Semenyo, Kluivert, Tavernier; Evanilson

Southampton: Ramsdale; Sugawars, Harwood-Bellis, Bednarek, Taylor; Downes, Ugochukwu; Dibing, Fernandes, Fraser; Archer

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