Saturday Racing Tips The Valley 10/08/24

We head to The Valley on Saturday afternoon to take on the horse racing bookmakers at this specialist course. Our next best on the day is very much a lover of The Valley, winning the final of the 955m 55-second series back in the autumn. She can fly around these tight bends when she is on her game! Keep reading for our top three bets on the card. 

(Note: Odds provided by bet365)

Best of the Day

The Valley Race 1 -

#5 Waimarie

Win: $3.40
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Place: $1.60
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Next Best

The Valley Race 5 -

#5 Scuderia

Win: $4.80
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Place: $2.50
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Roughie of the Day

The Valley Race 8 -

#2 Regal Pom

Win: $16.00
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Place: $4.60
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The Valley Race 1 - Ladbroke It! Handicap (1600m)

Selections:
#5 Waimarie (BEST BET) - $3.40
#1 Electric Impulse - $3.50
#3 Roadie - $7.00
#6 Lievore $6.00

BEST BET - #5 Waimarie

This is a step up in class for the best bet of the day but she looked more than ready for it with her win at Sandown last time out. That was the best performance of her career and a second win in her last three starts. It was also the first time that Mark Zahra had been booked to ride her, getting the mount on her for a second time here. She has met some decent types like Southport Tycoon and I Am Unstoppable on her way here so should cope with this better contest. Likes to get on the front end which is a good place to be at The Valley and this maps well with little pace pressure on her.

DANGER - #1 Electric Impulse

The opposite of the best bet in that she tends to be ridden stone cold. That means that she always needs plenty of luck in running. It goes some way to showing why she has struggled to get her head in front of late, getting no sort of a run through last time at Sandown. She is going to need plenty of luck around here on her first visit to The Valley but the step up in distance to 1600m for the first time looks like being a massive plus for her.

VALUE BET - #3 Roadie

Another mare in great form of late, winning three of her last four starts. She is another who is up in class for this task but, like the best bet, she is running well enough to cope. Last time out at Sandown she encountered a deeper surface than she will here but produced a notable time for the grade and going. That strongly suggested that there is still better to come from her as long as the conditions do not dry out too much.

The Valley Race 5 - Dominant Actizone Handicap (1000m)

Selections:
#5 Scuderia (NEXT BEST) - $4.80
#1 Acromantula - $5.00
#2 Mornington Glory - $4.80
#3 Taunting - $5.00

BEST BET - #5 Scuderia

Was airborne in her last prep, with all of her racing coming at this track. That is a massive plus for her chances with so much strong form around this tight and unique course. She is electric around here, winning the final of the 955m series back in March. Clocking 54.70 in the final, she broke the 55-second barrier that the series is named after. Up a hair to 1000m on her return but that shouldn’t inconvenience her. Being first up is a niggling concern but is the only thing that is a slight negative about her chance.

DANGER - #1 Acromantula

Third in this race last year and this is arguably a weaker renewal. Connections are going to think that will give their charge a strong winning chance. The seven-year-old is generally good to catch in the first two starts of his prep, a 2-2-1 record from six first-up starts as he is here. He only managed to get his head in front once last season but he was generally seen at a higher level than this. He has the perfect barrier in one for a horse who likes to be up on the speed but whether his legs can carry him as quick early as the next best remains to be seen.

VALUE BET - #2 Mornington Glory

Ran well enough on his return to action in the Group 3 John Monash, despite not looking to enjoy soft ground conditions. The course should not be too soft at The Valley on Saturday looking at the weather forecast so he might be able to take a step forward on those runs. He is a perfect 2/2 when he has run over 1000m in the past, one of that pair of wins coming at this track. Third in the Group 1 Oakleigh Plate in February, he is a huge player as long as the ground comes in his favour.

The Valley Race 8 - Dominant Home Products Limited (1600m)

Selections:
#3 Margie’s Boy  - $7.00
#4 Regal Zeus - $6.00
#2 Regal Pom (ROUGHIE OF THE DAY) - $16.00
#1 Maximilian Caesar - $17.00

BEST BET - #3 Margie’s Boy

Has saluted in three straight starts, including in this BM70 grade last time out. He shapes as if he is well worth a try at 1600m now, hitting the line hard in those 1400m starts. Loves to get his toe in so connections will want to see conditions stay on the soft side for him to be seen to best effect. Generally sits handy enough in his races so The Valley should not be an issue for him and he could not be arriving in better form.

DANGER - #4 Regal Zeus

Bounced out in front at Sandown last time out and was never for catching. He has a nice barrier to work from in three here if connections want to go from the front again. That Sandown contest was the fourth time that Daniel Stackhouse has had the ride on him, winning three of those starts so the pair clearly get on well. The issue with his chance is this track. He has not made the frame in either start at The Valley. If he can be forgiven those, he has plenty in his favour.

VALUE BET - #2 Regal Pom

Never got involved at Caulfield last time when held up a long way back off a slow gallop. Shaped better than is often the case on his first start back when third at Sandown but those two runs take him to 0-14 in his career on his first and second up starts. Third up (as he is here) has seen a win and four second-place finishes from six tries so this is generally when he starts to get his prep rolling. This is very much the right distance and class for him so it is the barrier of 16 that is making him the price that he is. If Ryan Houston can figure that out early on, he has a huge chance to make the frame at big odds.

Bet365 is our top bookmaker for our horse racing tips this week. They are one of the biggest bookmakers in the world and have an assortment of markets that most bookmakers could only dream about. One of the most significant advantages of betting with bet365 is watching a live stream of all the action. It is hard to compete with their level of sport shown live. As a company born in the UK, it is no surprise that you can bet on all of the horse racing across Europe and America and all of the Australian action. There are always boosts and special offers to take advantage of, as well as offering prices that match up well with their competitors.

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Jockey Of The Day – Mark Zahra

Five rides on the day for Zahra, with some strong chances on the board. Caulfield is the only track where he has ridden more winners than The Valley so he will be looking forward to a first trip to this track this season. The prices on the betting sites suggest that he is going to be in for a solid return even with just the five mounts.

R1 - #5 - Waimarie - $3.40
R2 - #4 - Last Druid - $7.50
R3 - #5 - Lincoln Rocks - $4.00
R4 - #7 - Dashing Duchess - $6.00
R8 - #3 - Margie’s Boy - $7.00