Saturday Racing Tips - Caulfield 17/08/24

Three group races and a listed race at Caulfield provide one of the strongest cards that we have seen for a while. Not only are the races of a good level, but the participants are also top-notch and will be looking to head up to higher grades in time. We are hoping that there is not too much forecast rain so that our roughie tip has the best chance of giving the horse racing bookmakers something to think about.   

(Note: Odds provided by bet365)

Selections:
#5 Kuroyanagi (BEST BET) - $2.90 
#1 Drifting - $4.20 
#7 Manolo Bling - $7.00 
#3 Geegees Mistruth - $13.00 

BEST BET - #5 Kuroyanagi 
Looked a nice type when winning on her debut. Duly backed up that impression when runner-up to Hayasugi in a Group 2 at this track on her second start. Behind that filly again as well as Lady Of Camelot on her third outing, that in the Group 1 Blue Diamond. Perhaps a touch disappointing when turned over on her first start of this prep at Morphettville. Not beaten far in that Listed race and perhaps Soft 7 blunted her natural speed. The surface should be more in her favour here and she can get back on the winning trail. 
 
DANGER - #1 Drifting 
Won on her debut and then saluted in the Group 3 Magic Night back in March. Was behind Lady Of Camelot in the Group 2 Percy Sykes at Randwick in April on her most recent start. At the weights and on a line through that Gai Waterhouse filly, she has a bit to find with the best bet. The top pick ran that filly to a length off level while Drifing got 3kg and was beaten 1.8l. In her defence, Lady Of Camelot was a stronger rival when Drifting took her on, so she looks like the main threat.  
 
VALUE BET - #7 Manolo Bling 
Has only had a single start so far in her career but she got the job done on debut. That came over this track and distance in the middle of July. It is hard to be too certain about how strong that level of form is just a month down the line. Chances are that she did not have anything special behind but she impressed by the way she went about her work. Connections are happy to throw her in a Group 3 second up so she needs to be respected. 

Selections:
#1 Pericles (NEXT BEST)  - $3.00 
#6 Pinstriped - $5.00 
#2 Munhamek - $6.50 
#4 Buffalo River - $12.00 

BEST BET - #1 Pericles 
Ran five times in his last prep, all of them in Group 1 races. He would finish second in two of them, behind Mr Brightside in the Futurity and Celestial Legend in the Doncaster. Four Group 2 races in the past have seen him saluting twice and finishing third in one of the other pair so he is always a huge player at this level. First up has also seen him winning twice in four starts so fresh, early in a prep is no problem. Might perhaps like a little more juice in the ground so the forecast rain will help but in a Group 2 has a huge chance. 
 
DANGER - #6 Pinstriped 
Not seen since the All-Star Mile in the middle of March but that is to his advantage as the first two starts of a prep is a good time to catch him. Like the top pick, he has plenty of Group 1 runs behind him and while he has not quite got the same level of form at that level, he deserves respect. Has a smart record over this 1400m distance, although he does stay 2000m well. The one slight concern about his chance is his record at Caulfield. He has finished second in one of four starts here which could do with being improved upon. 
 
VALUE BET - #2 Munhamek 
Veteran has the fitness edge over the pair above and has been some of the form of his life so far this prep. He has three straight wins coming into this, the most recent of those a Listed success at Flemington. The drop back to 1400m from 1600m might not be entirely suitable for him against rivals who have form at a higher level than this but otherwise, he needs to be given plenty of consideration. Jamie Mott has won two of three starts on him, making a solid partnership. 

Selections:
#16 Elouyou - $2.50 
#8 The Open - $5.50 
#1 Running By (ROUGHIE OF THE DAY) - $19.00 
#15 Sandpaper - $12.00 

BEST BET - #16 Elouyou 
A couple of scratches have got this gelding into the race and he might be able to take full advantage. He is lightly raced for his age and has produced a strong record to start his career. Three wins, four seconds and a third from eight career starts so far so he is yet to finish out of the frame. 1400m looks like his perfect trip and he has form on all ground. Likes to sit on the pace so has a great barrier draw in three to do that. There are other pace angles in here which will make things a touch harder but he will have the inside route. 
 
DANGER - #8 The Open 
Another who has shown some serious consistency so far in his eight career starts. He has a fourth-place finish on his card but his other seven starts have all seen him in the frame. Similar to Elouyou, he acts on all ground which makes him an easier type for connections to place. Stepped up to 1400m for the first time in his most recent start when he was just outstayed on a Heavy 8 surface. Conditions are not going to be as deep as that here and he is going to face a harder task to get himself close to the speed in this lineup from barrier 13. Despite that, he demands plenty of respect. 
 
VALUE BET - #1 Running By 
Has a win and a second from three first-up starts as she is here. Connections will be hoping that the forecast rain is not too heavy as she would prefer the ground to stay on top as much as possible. She was runner-up in a pair of Group 3 races last prep so this BM84 starting point is going to see her taking on a lesser class of rival. The most recent of those was won by Eternal Flame who would step up to take a Group 2 contest on her next start. Is another who likes to be on the speed so the hoops will need to take care that they don’t use too much up early on. 

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Six rides on the afternoon for Kah who is on our best bet. This is far from her only strong chance, however, with a couple of her other mounts short prices on the betting sites as well. A multi winner day is a strong chance so there are worse bets than a Kah multi on the afternoon. 
 
R1 - #3 - Dipsy Doodle - $4.60 
R2 - #6 - Rhapsody Chic - $2.80 
R3 - #13 - Hazel Baby - $17.00 
R6 - #5 - Kuroyanagi - $2.90 
R7 - #2 - It’sourtime - $10.00 
R9 - #15 - Sandpiper - $12.00

Two very strong fancies kick off our multi tip at Caulfield. It would be disappointing if they did not manage to at least place. It is then all down to the roughie. Her chance depends a large amount on how much rain falls. The less precipitation there is, the better her chance.  

R6 - #5 - Kuroyanagi - PLC $1.55
R8 - #1 - Pericles - PLC $1.60 
R9 - #1 - Running By - PLC $4.40 

Total Odds = $10.91
$50 Stake = $545.60 Return!

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1st: 1, 3, 5, 7 
2nd: 1, 3, 5, 7 
3rd: 1, 3, 5, 7 

$50 stake = 208% flexi