NRL 2024 Round 10 – Betting tips & Predictions

James Salmon
By: James Salmon
12/05/2024
NRL Betting Tips
NRL 2024 Round 10

Round 9 was a tight few days of NRL action, with three of the first six games decided by just two points and a couple of other close ones littered across the weekend. Round 10 looks likely to have a few tight ones as well, with a top of the table clash between the Storm and the Sharks the headliner, and other big games including the Dolphins vs Sea Eagles on Thursday night, and the Roosters vs Warriors on Sunday afternoon. Below, we take a look at how all eight matches are shaping up.

Round 10 Fixtures

FixturesInfo (AEST)Home OddsAway Odds
Dolphins vs Sea EaglesThursday, 9th of May at 7.50pm AEST$2.00$1.81
Panthers vs Bulldogs Friday, 10th of May at 6.00pm AEST$1.15$5.50
Eels vs BroncosFriday, 10th of May at 8.00pm AEST$3.15 $1.36
Tigers vs KnightsSaturday, 11th of May at 3.00pm AEST$2.20$1.68
Dragons vs RabbitohsSaturday, 11th of May at 5.30pm AEST$1.68$2.20
Storm vs SharksSaturday, 11th of May at 7.35pm AEST $1.70$2.15
Roosters vs WarriorsSunday, 12th of May at 2.00pm AEST$1.29$3.60
Titans vs CowboysSunday, 12th of May at 4.05pm AEST $2.30$1.62

Dolphins vs Manly Sea Eagles

Tip

The Dolphins haven’t had a whole lot of headline games in their short tenure in the NRL, but this year they will kick off Round 10 with a really intriguing game against the Sea Eagles. Both of these sides have outperformed expectations so far in 2024, though last weekend were on the opposite end of two-point games. The Dolphins were on the right side of theirs, notching up a really impressive 28-26 defeat of the Cowboys in Townsville, clawing their way back after conceding a ten-point lead within the first six minutes of the game. That took their record to 5-3, and with each passing week they are looking increasingly like a genuine finals contender. The Sea Eagles, meanwhile, endured their first loss in over a month, going down 26-24 to the Raiders. Canberra have sprung a few surprises this season, but this one was a disaster for Manly, who were up 24-6 early in the second half before conceding four consecutive tries. Adding salt to the wound was the fact that Reuben Garrick converted just two of their five tries, which in a two-point game clearly came back to bite them. Disappointing though that was, the Sea Eagles have been consistently really solid this year. The Dolphins are not an easy team to beat at the moment and on their home turf will keep this one close, but Manly can return to the winners’ list in a tight game.

BookmakerJames’ TipOdds
Playup_Logo_232x80Sea Eagles to win$1.75
Sea Eagles -1.5 $1.86
Sea Eagles 1-12$2.90

Predicted Squads

The Dolphins: 1.Trai Fuller 2. Jamayne Isaako 3. Jake Averillo 4. Herbie Farnworth 5. Jack Bostock 6. Kodi Nikorima 7. Isaiya Katoa 8. Jesse Bromwich 9. Jeremy Marshall-King 10. Mark Nicholls 11. Felise Kaufusi 12. Euan Aitken 13. Max Plath 14. Josh Kerr 15. Kurt Donoghue 16. Ray Stone 17. Connelly Lemuelu

Manly Sea Eagles: 1. Tom Trbojevic 2. Jason Saab 3. Tolu Koula 4. Reuben Garrick 5. Tommy Talau 6. Luke Brooks 7. Daly Cherry-Evans 8. Taniela Paseka 9. Lachlan Croker 10. Josh Aloiai 11. Ben Trbojevic 12. Corey Waddell 13. Jake Trbojevic 14. Karl Lawton 15. Ethan Bullemor 16. Nathan Brown 17. Matthew Lodge

Penrith Panthers vs Canterbury Bulldogs

Tip

The Rabbitohs are the worst team in the league at the moment and not much can be read into games against them, but the Panthers still managed to flex their muscle last Thursday night in a 42-12 win. Two tries in the first nine minutes saw them go down 12-0 early in a surprise start for the home team, but Penrith spent the rest of the game systematically tearing the Bunnies apart, crossing the line seven times and converting them all to score the remaining 42 points of the game. They have now won three on the trot and, a little over two months into the season, are well on track in their quest for a fourth consecutive Premiership. The Bulldogs also enjoyed an easier opponent last weekend, though they weren’t quite as convincing against the Tigers. Down 14-6 at half-time a disappointing loss was very much on the cards, but they looked good throughout a 16-0 second half en route to a second consecutive win. Improvement was needed after a rough few years in 2024, and so far they have shown it. But improve though they appear to have done, the Panthers are the pre-eminent team in the competition. They haven’t lost at home all year, and that won’t be changing this weekend. This should be an easy victory for the home side.

BookmakerJames’ TipOdds
Playup_Logo_232x80Panthers/Panthers half-time/full-time$1.48
Panthers 7+$1.44
Panthers 13+$1.75

Predicted Squads

Penrith Panthers: 1. Dylan Edwards 2. Sunia Turuva 3. Izack Tago 4. Taylan May 5. Brian To’o 6. Jarome Luai 7. Nathan Cleary 8. Moses Leota 9. Mitch Kenny 10. James Fisher-Harris 11. Luke Garner 12. Liam Martin 13. Isaah Yeo 14. Jack Cole 15. Lindsay Smith 16. Liam Henry 17. Matthew Eisenhuth

Canterbury Bulldogs: 1. Connor Tracey 2. Jacob Kiraz 3. Bronson Xerri 4. Stephen Crichton 5. Josh Addo-Carr 6. Matt Burton 7. Drew Hutchison 8. Max King 9. Reed Mahoney 10. Sam Hughes 11. Viliame Kikau 12. Jaeman Salmon 13. Kurt Mann 14. Blake Taaffe 15. Josh Curran 16. Kurtis Morrin 17. Jacob Preston

Parramatta Eels vs Brisbane Broncos

Tip

A bye was exactly what the Eels needed last weekend, the week off coming after two consecutive hefty defeats to first the Dolphins and then the Sea Eagles. They will soon get a couple of key players back, most notably Mitch Moses, but he’ll still be absent this weekend for what looms as a tough game against the Broncos. Last year’s runners-up lost their first game in a month after a dominant three-game stretch, and it wasn’t exactly a gallant loss. They fell in a heap against the Roosters, with an 18-18 game with half an hour to go ultimately turning into a 40-18 defeat as they conceded four tries in 14 minutes to an impressive Roosters outfit. But that kind of performance has not been the norm for the Broncos this year, and certainly not after a slow-ish start over the first few weeks. They have the ability to really put teams to the sword with big scores, and given that the Eels have conceded scores of 41, 44 and 32 within their last four games, the Broncos probably won’t have too many problems crossing the line. The Eels really need to tighten things up, but this is going to be a tough game for them to do it in. It would be no surprise to see the Broncos notch up a big win on Friday night.

BookmakerJames’ TipOdds
Playup_Logo_232x80Broncos -10.5$1.88
Broncos over 32.5 total match points$2.80
Broncos 13+ $2.30

Predicted Squads

Parramatta Eels: 1. Blaize Talagi 2. Maika Sivo 3. Will Penisini 4. Morgan Harper 5. Bailey Simonsson 6. Ethan Sanders 7. Dylan Brown 8. Reagan Campbell-Gillard 9. Joey Lussick 10. Junior Paulo 11. Shaun Lane 12. Ryan Matterson 13. J’maine Hopgood 14. Brendan Hands 15. Makahesi Makatoa 16. Joe Ofahengaue 17. Kelma Tuilagi

Brisbane Broncos: 1. Reece Walsh 2. Corey Oates 3. Kotoni Staggs 4. Selwyn Cobbo 5. Deine Mariner 6. Ezra Mam 7. Jock Madden 8. Corey Jensen 9. Billy Walters 10. Payne Haas 11. Brendan Piakura 12. Jordan Riki 13. Patrick Carrigan 14. Tyson Smoothy 15. Xavier Willison 16. Kobe Hetherington 17. Fletcher Baker

  • The Eels have conceded 32 points or more in three of their last four games, while the Broncos have surpassed that score in four of their past six.
  • The Tigers have lost their past five games by at least eight points.
  • The Titans have either won or lost each of their past four games by four points or less, while the Cowboys haven’t won in over a month.

Multi of the Week

LegsOdds
Broncos over 32.5 points$2.70
Knights 7+$2.30
Titans to win$2.30
Bet $10 for $142.80 with PlayUp

Wests Tigers vs Newcastle Knights

Tip

Following a competitive start to life under Benji Marshall, the wheels have slowly begun to fall off for the Tigers, and last weekend’s defeat at the hands of the Bulldogs was their fifth in a row. In fairness, they have for the most part been reasonably competitive and that loss was no exception. They led at half-time by eight points but were unable to maintain the rage, with a disappointing second half leading to a 16-point turnaround. They’ll try to break that five-game losing streak this weekend back on their home turf, but after a couple of impressive wins the proverbial tail of the Knights will be up. After a tight four-point defeat of the Dolphins a fortnight ago, Newcastle made it two from two with a six-point win over the Warriors in a dour affair. After conceding 36 points against the Bulldogs a few weeks ago they have really locked down on defence, and with the Tigers not exactly renowned for their scintillating offence they should be able to keep things pretty tight once again. This is a great opportunity for the Knights to make it three wins from as many games and potentially jump inside the top eight, and they should be able to notch up a relatively comfortable win against a competitive Tigers side.

BookmakerJames’ TipOdds
Playup_Logo_232x80Knights to win$1.68
Knights -2.5$1.88
Knights 7+$2.20

Predicted Squads

Wests Tigers: 1. Jahream Bula 2. Charlie Staines 3. Brent Naden 4. Justin Olam 5. Solomon Alaimalo 6. Lachlan Galvin 7. Bud Sullivan 8. Stefano Utoikamanu 9. Api Koroisau 10. David Klemmer 11. Isaiah Papali’i  12. Samuela Fainu 13. John Bateman 14. Latu Fainu 15. Alex Twal 16. Alex Seyfarth  17. Fonua Pole

Newcastle Knights: 1. David Armstrong 2. Greg Marzhew 3. Dane Gagai 4. Bradman Best 5. Enari Tuala 6. Tyson Gamble 7. Jackson Hastings 8. Daniel Saifiti 9. Jayden Brailey 10. Leo Thompson 11. Dylan Lucas 12. Kai Pearce-Paul 13. Adam Elliott 14. Phoenix Crossland 15. Jack Hetherington 16. Jed Cartwright 17. Brodie Jones

St. George Illawarra Dragons vs South Sydney Rabbitohs

Tip

What a thriller this one is shaping up as! I jest, of course – the Dragons and Rabbitohs are among the worst teams in the league, but while the former has done well so far to be competitive this year without a whole lot of talent, the Rabbitohs have been literally the exact opposite. Jason Demetriou might be gone, but in their first game with interim coach Ben Hornby at the helm not much changed, with a 42-12 defeat to the Panthers making it three results in the last four games by at least 30 points. Unlike the Bunnies, the Dragons have actually managed to win a few games this year, though the fact that they have the third points differential despite a 4-5 record is probably more indicative of where they were at. They were a lot more competitive last weekend than they were the weekend prior when the Roosters beat them 60-18, but despite leading at half-time the second half comeback from the Sharks which resulted in a 20-10 win felt inevitable throughout the game. But for a team that might not win all that many more games this year, this looks like a great spot for them to notch up another one. It’s always possible that the Rabbitohs flick a switch at some point, but based on how they have been performing for an extended period of time now it’s impossible to back them to win.

BookmakerJames’ TipOdds
Playup_Logo_232x80Dragons to win$1.65
Dragons -2.5$1.88
Dragons 7+$2.30

Predicted Squads

St. George Illawarra Dragons: 1.Tyrell Sloan 2. Zac Lomax 3. Jack Bird 4. Moses Suli5. Mikaele Ravalawa 6. Kyle Flanagan 7. Ben Hunt  8. Francis Molo 9. Jacob Liddle 10. Hame Sele 11. Raymond Faitala-Mariner 12. Jaydn Su’A 13. Tom Eisenhuth 14. Fa'amanu Brown 15. Blake Lawrie 16. Jack de Belin 17. Luciano Leilua

South Sydney Rabbitohs: 1. Latrell Mitchell 2. Alex Johnston 3. Michael Chee Kam 4. Isaiah Tass 5. Izaac Thompson  6. Jack Wighton 7. Cody Walker 8. Jai Arrow 9. Damien Cook 10. Davvy Moale 11. Keaon Koloamatangi 12. Adam Christensen 13. Tallis Duncan 14. Peter Mamouzelos 15. Siliva Havili 16. Tom Burgess 19. Sean Keppie

Melbourne Storm vs Cronulla Sharks

Tip

After what will probably be a pretty uninspiring curtain raiser on Saturday evening, the big boys take to the field later that night in the game of the round between the teams currently occupying the top two spots on the NRL ladder.  The Sharks continued their winning ways last weekend without breaking too much of a sweat, knocking off the Dragons by ten points to make it five wins on the trot and take their record to 7-1. The Storm, meanwhile, also won their fifth game in a row, though they weren’t exactly convincing and the victory came at a cost. They took the full 80 minutes to knock off the improving Titans, just limping to a 22-20 victory after a strong start. And in exactly the news that they didn’t want, Ryan Papenhuyzen ended the game in a moon boot after suffering an injury that will keep him out for a month or so. His absence will be sorely felt, and a clash against the team sitting atop the ladder will be a very stern test for them without him. But important though Papenhuyzen is, this is not a one-man team. They will certainly be a lesser team in his absence, but they have plenty of quality players and are yet to lose in five games this season at home. This will be a really tough game and, as have most Storm games this season, could easily go down to the wire, but at AAMI Park the home side can continue their winning ways in a quality game.

BookmakerJames’ TipOdds
Playup_Logo_232x80Storm to win$1.55
Storm -4.5$1.90
Under 42.5 total match points$1.90

Predicted Squads

Melbourne Storm: 1. Sua Fa’alogo 2. Will Warbrick 3. Reimis Smith 4. Nick Meaney 5. Xavier Coates 6. Cameron Munster 7. Jahrome Hughes 8. Christian Welch 9. Harry Grant 10. Josh King 11. Shawn Blore 12. Eli Katoa 13. Trent Loiero 14. Tyran Wishart 15. Tui Kamikamica 16. Nelson Asofa-Solomona 17. Joe Chan

Cronulla Sharks: 1. Will Kennedy 2. Sione Katoa 3. Jesse Ramien 4. Kayal Iro 5. Ronaldo Mulitalo 6. Daniel Atkinson 7. Nicho Hynes 8. Thomas Hazelton 9. Blayke Brailey 10. Oregon Kaufusi 11. Briton Nikora 12. Teig Wilton 13. Cam McInnes 14. Jack Williams 15. Sifa Talakai 16. Toby Rudolf 17. Braden Hamlin-Uele

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Sydney Roosters vs New Zealand Warriors

Tip

The Roosters and the Warriors both entered the 2024 with high hopes, but they are trending in opposite directions a couple of months into the season. The Roosters are going from strength to strength, and over the past fortnight they have put together two dominant performances. Two weeks ago they put up 60 points against the Dragons en route to a 42-point win, and against a much sterner opposition in the Broncos last weekend they again notched up a big win. That game was tightly contested until the 50-minute mark, but the Roosters went on a tear over the past half an hour with four tries to ultimately end up 40-18 victors against last year’s runners-up. In contrast, the Warriors lost their third game in a row, and though this one was a little more forgivable than the previous two defeats against the Dragons and Titans, it nonetheless put them even further behind the eight ball. They are clearly a better team than their 3-5 record suggests and a number of close losses have left them in much worse shape than they could have been, but their top four hopes have almost dissipated and if their current run of results continues for much longer, their finals hopes will be in jeopardy too. The Warriors have only lost one game this year by more than six points, but the Roosters are in scintillating form. On their home turf, they should be able to continue their climb up the ladder with a third consecutive win.

BookmakerJames’ TipOdds
Playup_Logo_232x80Roosters to win$1.30
Roosters 7+$1.70
Roosters/Roosters half-time/full-time double$1.65

Predicted Squads

Sydney Roosters: 1. James Tedesco 2. Daniel Tupou 3. Joseph Suaalii 4. Joey Manu 5. Dom Young 6. Luke Keary 7. Sam Walker 8. Jared Waerea-Hargreaves 9. Brandon Smith 10. Lindsay Collins 11. Angus Crichton 12. Nat Butcher 13. Victor Radley 14. Connor Watson 15. Naufahu Whyte 16. Sitili Tupouniua 17. Terrell May

New Zealand Warriors: 1.  Charnze Nicoll-Klokstad 2. Dallin Watene-Zelezniak 3. Rocco Berry 4. Roger Tuivasa-Sheck 5. Marcelo Montoya 6. Te Maire Martin 7. Shaun Johnson 8. Addin Fonua-Blake 9. Wayde Egan 10. Mitch Barnett 11. Jackson Ford 12. Jacob Laban 13. Tohu Harris 14. Dylan Walker 15. Tom Ale 16. Bunty Afoa 17. Zyon Maiu'u

Gold Coast Titans vs North Queensland Cowboys

Tip

The Titans’ first month or so of the season could hardly have been worse, but over their last four games they have been really impressive and probably deserve more than the one win that they have managed in that time. After not getting within 13 points of an opponent in their first four games, each of their last four has been decided by four points or less, but aside from a three-point win over the Warriors each of those has been a loss. The latest of them came, impressively, against the Storm, with the Titans fighting their way back into the game after going down 20-6 and very nearly knocking off one of the best teams in the league. This Sunday they get a great chance to earn a well-deserved victory back on their home turf when they host the struggling Cowboys, who are heading in the opposite direction. They started the season like a house on fire, but as has often been the case over the past couple of years, consistency has been notably absent for them. They have now lost four games on the trot, and while three of those have been by relatively slim margins, they would surely have beaten the likes of the Dolphins and the Eels were they playing at the same level they were at the beginning of the season. The stark reality is, however, that they are not, and with the Titans now in an extended period of solid form, they can cause an upset to conclude the round and notch up their second win of the season.

BookmakerJames’ TipOdds
Playup_Logo_232x80Titans to win$2.30
Titans +3.5$1.90
Titans 1-12$3.40

Predicted Squads

Gold Coast Titans: 1. AJ Brimson 2. Phillip Sami 3. Brian Kelly 4. Harley Smith-Shields 5. Jojo Fifita 6. Tom Weaver 7. Kieran Foran 8. Moeaki Fotuaika 9. Sam Verrills 10. Jaimin Jolliffe 11. David Fifita 12. Beau Fermor 13. Isaac Liu 14. Erin Clark 15. Joe Stimson 16. Klese Haas 17. Josiah Pahulu

North Queensland Cowboys: 1. Scott Drinkwater 2. Kyle Feldt 3. Valentine Holmes 4. Villiami Vailea 5. Murray Taulagi 6. Tom Dearden 7. Jake Clifford 8. Jordan McLean 9. Reece Robson 10. Griffin Neame 11. Kulikefu Finefeuiaki 12. Jeremiah Nanai 13. Reuben Cotter 14. Heilum Luki 15. Thomas Mikaele 16. Sam McIntyre 17. Jason Taumalolo

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