AFLW 2024 Round 7 – Betting Tips, Odds & Predictions

It’s been a busy few weeks in the AFLW, with three consecutive rounds kicking off on Tuesday and running through to Sunday in order to squeeze 11 games out of each team across a ten-round season. This week will see the last such round of the year, with Round 7 kicking off when the Saints host the Giants on Tuesday evening and finishing five days later when the Giants play their second game of the week, this one in Sydney against the Crows. Wedged in between are nine other games across the course of what is a pivotal week as we enter the final month of the home and away season, and below we have previewed all 11 games set to take place throughout.

The Saints’ tumble down the AFLW ladder continued last weekend as they suffered their third loss in a row, after having won their first three to find themselves sitting in first place nearly a month into the season. They are now back in 10th, and with two games to come in Round 7, this week will play a major role in whether or not they play finals. Though they suffered a third defeat in a row last weekend they were exceptionally gallant, going down by just four points on the road to a Crows’ side which has lost just a solitary game all year. But once again, scoring proved difficult for the Saints, who have now scored 23 points or less in four consecutive games. Though the Giants are back in 16th, that trend won’t be all that easy to overcome this Tuesday.

The Giants have conceded less points than every other side in the bottom ten with the exception, incidentally, of the Saints, and have also given up less points than three teams within the top eight. Though they haven’t won a game since the opening round against the Bulldogs, they still have a percentage of over 100% and have been competitive nearly every week, last week’s 16-point defeat to the Demons another such example. They are certainly not the easy beats that their bottom three ladder position would suggest, and should be able to give this game a shake. But the Saints badly need to win to keep touch with the eight. This will likely be a low-scoring encounter and could easily be a tight finish, but the Saints down in Melbourne should be able to sneak over the line.

Bookmaker	James’ Tip	Odds
	Saints to win	$1.30
	Giants +11.5	$1.91
	Over 69.5 total match points	$1.88

Predicted Squads

St. Kilda Saints: FB: N. Stevens, S. Watson HB: H. Priest, P. Trudgeon, B. Jakobsson C: M. McDonald, J. Lambert, D. Guttridge HF: G. Kelly, J. Wardlaw, J. Anderson FF: E. Friend, A. Richards Fol: S. Nalder, C. Simpson, T. Smith IC: A. Burke, K. Whiley, M. Boyd, N. Plane, E. Fiedler

Greater Western Sydney Giants: FB: P. Randall, K. Smith HB: C. Ransom, J. Grierson, E. Pease C: K. Srhoj, A. Eva, M. Brazendale HF: M. Pauga, G. Garnett, H. Zreika FF: Z. Goldsworthy, B. Mowbray Fol: E. O’Dowd, R. Beeson, A. Parker IC: M. Gaffney, A. Bradfield, J. Doyle, F. Davies, J. Ramsdale

Their ladder positions might not necessarily suggest it, but this is a big game. The Crows have been terrific all season, their solitary loss coming by just two points at the hands of the Lions, and it’s testament to the performances so far this season of the teams at the top that their record is still not good enough to have them inside the top four at this point in time. It appears that whichever four teams earn the double chance will be winning plenty of games, so the Crows can ill-afford to lose many more if they want to give themselves the best possible chance of winning a Premiership – something which they are more than capable of doing.

The Demons entered the season with similar aspirations, but their focus has now turned to simply getting back into the finals race, and they took an important step towards doing that last week. Their 16-point win over the Giants was their first since the opening week of the season, though at 2-4 and with a measly percentage of just 58% they still have plenty of work to do to get back into the finals mix. Another loss this weekend would make things very, very difficult, but on the flip side, if they can beat the Crows, there will be a couple of teams in the bottom half of the top eight looking nervously over their shoulders at them. But while the Dees did show some signs of life last weekend, the Crows in Adelaide is a mighty tough task for any team. At their best the Dees could make some sort of a game out of this, but it is hard to see them winning a second in a row.

Bookmaker	James’ Tip	Odds
	Crows to win	$1.11
	Crows -22.5	$1.91
	Crows 25+	$1.95

Predicted Squads

Adelaide Crows: FB: Z. Prowse, C. Randall HB: K. Mueller, S. Allen, Goodwin C: N. Kelly, A. Hatchard, S. Thompson HF: T. Levy, C. Gould, R. Martin FF: C. Biddell, D. Ponter Fol: J. Allan, E. Marinoff, M. Newman IC: D. Varnhagen, K. Kustermann, L. Tarlinton, A. Boyle-Carr, B. Boileau

Melbourne Demons: FB: G. Colvin, T. Gillard HB: M. Chaplin, D. Taylor, S. Goldrick C: S. Lampard, T. Hanks, E. McNamara HF: G. Gall, L. Mithen, A. Pisano FF: PA. Bannan, G. Campbell Fol: R. Watt, K. Hore, S. Heath IC: G. Hill. M. Fitzimon, L. Johnson, R. Wotherspoon, S. D’Arcy

The respective seasons of these two teams have gone in opposite directions, and last week the gap between them widened even further. Port Adelaide are, admittedly, still outside of the top eight, but they have shown dramatic improvement in 2024 and after two consecutive wins, are now just a game behind the Eagles in 8th – and with a superior percentage. It was, in fact, the Eagles who they beat last weekend, knocking off Daisy Pearce’s improved side by 13 points the week after they pumped the Blues by 35. With a very winnable game to come on Thursday night, they have a great chance to jump inside the top eight for the first time this week.

The Pies’ season to date has been nothing short of a disaster, and that continued with a disappointing but expected heavy loss to the Tigers last week. Collingwood could muster up just ten points in that game, continuing the scoring issues which have seen them put up an average of less than 22 points per game so far this season. Courtesy of their solitary win of the season a fortnight ago, which came by three points against the Suns, they sit ahead of the Gold Coast on the ladder, but with a percentage of just 42.5% there is a case to be made that they are the worst team in the league. It’s hard to see them beating many teams at the minute, and with the Power playing some good footy, this should be a third win on the trot for the home side.

Bookmaker	James’ Tip	Odds
	Power to win	$1.22
	Power -16.5	$1.91
	Power 25+	$2.40

Predicted Squads

Port Adelaide Power: FB: A. Brook, A. Borg HB: T. Germech, E. O’Dea, M. Brooksby C: S. Goody, M. Moloney, E. Boag HF: G. Houghton, J. Mules-Robinson, C. Wendland FF: A. Saint, J. Teakle Fol: M. Scholz, A. Dowrick, C. Hammond IC: P. Window, A. Foley, J. Stewart, K. Pope, O. Levicki

Collingwood Magpies: FB: L. Butler, S. Livingstone HB: M. Atkinson, L. Cronin, J. Allen C: S. Rowe, R. Schleicher, A. Schutte HF: L. Brazzale, I. Barnett, A. Porter FF: E. James, M. Cann Fol: S. Frederic, B. Bonnici, B. Davey IC: C. Remmos, C. Taylor, I. Evans, G. Clark, T. White

• The Kangaroos have won five of their seven games this year by six goals or more.
• The Lions have won four of their last five games by 45 points or more.
• The Blues have lost their last four games by at least 33 points.

Multi of the Week

The Bulldogs have done a good job of turning their season around given what an appalling start to it they endured, but last week they returned to the form which saw them sitting dead last on the ladder with an abysmal percentage a month into the year. In fairness, the Kangaroos have made some much better sides than the Bulldogs look decidedly average so far this season, but a 59-4 thrashing was still not the result that the Doggies would have wanted. Things do get a little easier for them this weekend, but while the Bombers are not nearly at the level of the Kangaroos they have put themselves right in the mix to play finals courtesy of three consecutive wins.

Those three wins came after Essendon lost three of its first four games, and have seen them jump into 7th spot. The first of this run was clearly the best when they demolished the Demons by 65 points, and while the ensuing couple have not been quite as convincing - a three-point win over the Swans and last week a nine-point win over the Suns – they still did what they needed to do to earn the four points. They will see this as a terrific opportunity to make it four wins on the trot and further solidify their spot inside the top eight. The Bulldogs have proven that they can match it with a few teams in the league and if they play like they did in the couple of weeks prior to last week’s shellacking, they will make the Bombers work for their spoils. But Essendon really should be winning this game, and if they’re to establish themselves as a genuine finals team that is exactly what they will do.

Bookmaker	James’ Tip	Odds
	Bombers to win	$1.19
	Bombers 1-24	$2.50
	Bombers 1-39	$1.60

Predicted Squads

Western Bulldogs: FB: K. Kimber, L. Ahrens HB: I. Grant, E. Georgostathis, M. Gorham C: R. Wilcox, J. Fitzgerald, J. Smith HF: A. McKee, B. Gutknecht, E. Grigg FF: S. Hartwig, H. Woodley Fol: A. Edmonds, D. Berry, I. Pritchard IC: D. Carruthers, N. Ferres, C. Buttifant, Z. Farquharson, E. Gavalas

Essendon Bombers: FB: A. Van Loon, A. Morcom HB: M. Gay, G. Clarke, A. Gaylor C: B. Keaney, M. Prespakis, G. Gee HF: D. Bannister, S. Alexander, E. Gamble FF: PB. Toogood, P. Scott Fol: S. Wales, S. Cain, G. Nanscawen IC: B. Walker, A. Clarke, C. Adams, M. Busch, A. Radford

The Hawks just keep on rolling. They have been probably the most improved team this season, and on Sunday took their record to 6-1 with a really strong win over the Dockers. That was no mean feat – Fremantle entered that game on the back of four consecutive victories, so for the Hawks to come away from Western Australia with the four points further solidified themselves not just as a finals team, but a legitimate Premiership contender. They have been the highest scoring team in the league this season and boast a percentage of 165.8%, and they will be expecting to at least maintain that percentage this weekend.

There is no doubt that the Eagles have improved in their first season under Daisy Pearce – in fact, they have done so significantly, and few would have expected them to be even in the finals mix this deep into the season, let alone inside the top eight. But that is where they find themselves. They have, however, lost two of their last three, and while the first of those losses was against the Lions, they will have been disappointed to go down at home to the burgeoning Power last weekend. They are now just hanging onto their spot in the eight by a thread, and another loss will more than likely see them lose a handle on it. Unfortunately for Pearce and her chargers, given the way the Hawks have played this year, it’s hard to see any other result. This should be yet another comfortable win for Hawthorn.

Bookmaker	James’ Tip	Odds
	Hawks to win	$1.11
	Hawks -22.5	$1.91
	Hawks 25+	$2.15

Predicted Squads

Hawthorn Hawks: FB: T. Lucas-Rodd, E. Everist HB: T. Smith, A. Kemp, J. Richardson C: K. Ashmore, S. Locke, K. Stratton HF: G. Bodey, M. Eardley, A. Gilroy FF: A. McDonagh, L. Stone Fol: L. Wales, E. Bates, E. West IC: J. Vukic, L. Elliott, M. Williamson, J. Fleming, H. McLaughlin

West Coast Eagles: FB: B. Schilling, G. Cleaver HB: E. Swanson. C. Thomas, Z. Wakfer C: S. Goranova, I. Lewis, J. Britton HF: L. Wakfer, S. Bakker, M. Western FF: R. Roux, A. Drennan Fol: T. Lyons. E. Roberts, A. Bushby IC: S. Lakay, V. Simmons, J. Rentsch, B. Smith, J. Harken

Speaking of the most improved teams of this season, the Tigers have put themselves in that conversation over recent weeks too, and after a dominant win over the hapless Pies last week, now find themselves in 4th spot and with the second best percentage in the league. After losing to the Eagles by a point in Round 1, Richmond has lost just one more game, and they certainly were not embarrassed in that one when they went down by just two goals to a Kangaroos team which has been beating nearly everyone in their path by a lot more than that. Their spot in the top four, however, is far from safe, with the Crows nipping at their heels, and a loss this weekend to the Cats would likely see them slip outside of it.

Geelong, meanwhile, is trying to work its way back into top eight contention, but a slow first half of the season has made that a Herculean task. Their season would have been all but over had they lost again last week, but fortunately they just managed to creep over the line by less than a kick against the Swans to keep themselves in the mix. They are still a game and a half outside the eight, but with the Eagles facing a tough challenge against the Hawks this week, that gap could easily close to half a game following this match. The Cats at their best are more than capable of winning this and should make a game of it, but it is hard to ignore how well the Tigers have been playing this season. They have established themselves as a team very capable of earning the double chance, and can maintain their hold on a top four spot with a tight and tough victory this weekend.

Bookmaker	James’ Tip	Odds
	Tigers to win	$1.38
	Tigers 1-24	$2.40
	Tigers 1-39	$1.70

Predicted Squads

Richmond Tigers: FB: G. Seymour, R. Miller HB: B. Lynch, I. Bacon, L. Graham C: T. Lavey, E. McKenzie, K. Dempsey HF: A. Dallaway, K. Brennan, S. Hosking FF: C. Greiser, E. Yassir Fol: P. Kelly, E. Sheerin, M. Conti IC: M. Ford, J. Hicks, C. Ryan, G. Egan, T. Luke

Geelong Cats: FB: C. Emonson, C. Gunjaca HB: R. Webster, M. McDonald, R. Kearns C: Z. Friswell, G. Prespakis, J. Crocket-Grills HF: M. Bowen, J. Parry, S. Scott FF: A. Moloney, K. Kenny Fol: K. Darby, N. Morrison, D. Moloney IC: B. K. Smith, A. Kennedy, C. Thorne, M. Bragg, G. Rankin

There are a number of intriguing games over the course of Round 7, but this is not exactly chief among them. Since losing comfortably in Round 1 in a Grand Final rematch against the Kangaroos, the Lions have won six games on the trot to climb to 2nd position on the ladder, and they are not likely to be losing a handle on that top two spot this weekend. Aside from a tight contest against the Crows, the reigning Premiers have been winning with consummate ease every week, and their last game was no different as they comprehensively dismantled the struggling Blues to the tune of 55 points. With five teams looking likely to be battling it out for top four spots, the Lions do need to keep winning to maintain their hold not just on a spot in the top two, but a double chance at all, but they won’t be too concerned about losing that spot this weekend.

The Suns, in fairness, have not been as bad as a winless record would suggest, and were again competitive last weekend when they went down by just nine points to the Bombers. That came in the same week as they lost by just 13 points to the impressive Hawks, while in two of their three games prior to that they lost by three points to the Magpies and drew with the Giants. A win does not appear all that far off for this team and would probably be pretty well deserved, but they will not be getting it this weekend. Competitive a team as the Suns have generally been, the Lions are a different kettle of fish to the sides they have been keeping it close against. This should be an easy win for the Lions as they attempt to find some of their best form in the final month of the home and away season.

Bookmaker	James’ Tip	Odds
	Lions -25+	$1.32
	Lions -36.5	$1.91
	Lions 40+	$2.05

Predicted Squads

Brisbane Lions: FB: J. Dunne, P. Boltz HB: B. Koenen, N. Grider, L. Postlethwaite C: C. Mullins, A. Anderson, J. Ellenger HF: S. Conway, C. Hodder, R. Svarc FF: T. Smith, D. Davidson Fol: T. Hickie, I. Dawes, C. Svarc IC: E. Hartill, S. Campbell, S. Peters, E. Long, E. Hampsons

Gold Coast Suns: FB: M. Girvan, C. Wilson HB: E. Barwick, C. Fitzpatrick, G. Clayden C: N. McLaughlin, L. Single, A. Kievit HF: J. Membrey, T. Bohanna, E. Maurer FF: J. Stanton, J. Dupuy Fol: L. Bella, C. Rowbottom, D. D’Arcy IC: D. Davies, M. Brancatisano, K. Lynch , K. Fullerton, T. Oliver

The Dockers have been very good so far this season and are attempting to establish themselves as the 6th member of a top group which has separated itself from the rest of the league. But last week, they suffered their first loss in over a month against another member of that group in the Hawks. The Dockers were far from disgraced; in a tight and entertaining affair, they ultimately went down by just nine points, but while they do remain inside the top six, a percentage of just 121.5% - nearly 45% less than every member of the top five – suggests they are probably a rung below. On the flip side of the coin, they also look like a better team than virtually every other side below them – and certainly a better team than the Blues, who have been incredibly disappointing this season.

Carlton has now lost four games on the trot to take their record to a measly 2-5, and even worse than that record is a percentage of 41.9% - the worst in the league. They have been getting pumped on the regular, last week going down by 55 to the Lions, the week prior 35 to the Power, the week before that 69 to the Kangaroos and the week before that 33 points to the Tigers. The Dockers have not been the kind of team to truly take their opposition to the sword so far this season, but this is as good an opportunity as any to boost that aforementioned percentage of theirs. If the Dockers want to put themselves back in the mix for the top four they will probably need to boost their percentage at some point, so expect them to come out looking to do just that. Whether they can give the Blues the kind of belting to which they have become accustomed over recent weeks remains to be seen, but this should be a comfortable win for the Dockers over in Perth.

Bookmaker	James’ Tip	Odds
	Dockers to win	$1.13
	Dockers -21.5	$1.91
	Dockers 25+	$2.30

Predicted Squads

Fremantle Dockers: FB: A. Brazill, J. Low HB: E. O’Driscoll, L. Pugh, M. Scanlon C: A. Runnalls, G. Newton, O. Lally HF: A. Mulholland, E. Antonio, G. Biedenweg-Webster FF: A. Hetherington, G. O’Sullivan Fol: M. Strom, A. McCarthy, H. Miller IC: T. Kikoak, P. Seth, M. Morrison, S. Verrier, M. Kauffman

Carlton Blues: FB: G. Lawson-Tavan, H. Cordner HB: G. Pound, M. Hendrie, M. Hill C: C. Fitzgerald, M. Anthony, K. Skepper HF: K. Sherar, D. Vescio, T. Brown FF: D. Finn, J. Good Fol: B. Moody, M. Guerin, L. Goss IC: J. Dal Pos, M. Robertson, L. Keck, M. Austin, Y. Duursma

This one shapes as another one-sided game, though given the dominance of the Roos so far this season, most of their games have loomed as such – and panned out exactly as expected. Their percentage is sitting at an extraordinary 311.11% - they have scored more points than every other team in the league except for the Hawks (who have scored just one point more), while the 125 points they have conceded all year is 33 less than any other side. They have not conceded more than 15 points in any of their last four games, their opposition averaging a measly 8.75 in that time, and they have established as the team to beat in a competition with a couple of other very good sides.

None of that bodes particularly well for a Swans team which badly needs a win to stay in touch with the top eight. Sydney currently finds itself two games behind the Eagles in 8th courtesy of three losses in a row, though they are not completely without hope. Each of those three games has been decided by seven points or less and the last two by just three, last week’s coming at the hands of a Geelong team which is much better than its ladder position would suggest, and the other to Essendon, who have won three games on the trot. But while nobody would have begrudged the Swans a win during this current losing streak, they are still a long, long way behind the Kangaroos – as are most teams in the league. A loss here would just about send the Swans’ finals hopes packing, and unfortunately for them it is hard to see any other result.

Bookmaker	James’ Tip	Odds
	Kangaroos 40+	$2.05
	Kangaroos -36.5	$1.91
	Kangaroos 25+	$1.35

Predicted Squads

North Melbourne Kangaroos: FB: L. Birch, J. Ferguson HB: E. Shannon, S. Wright, N. Bresnehan C: T. Gatt, J. Garner, T. Craven HF: J. Bruton, B. Eddey, N. Martin FF: T. Randall, V. Wall Fol: E. King, M. King, A. Riddell IC: E. O’Shea, R. Tripodi, A. Smith, K. Rennie, A. O’Loughlin

Sydney Swans: FB: B. Tarrant, R. Sargent-Wilson HB: J. O’Sullivan, A. Mitchell, M. Collier C: E. Heads, L. Gardiner, L. McEvoy HF: C. Hamilton, B. R. Smith, P. McCarthy FF: R. Privitelli, B. Lochland Fol: A. Hamilton, S. Hurley, T. Kennedy IC: L. Hausegger, G. Davies, L. Steane, H. Cooper, S. Grunden

The second game for each of these teams in what is a huge week for their respective finals campaign, both the Saints and the Demons could theoretically be playing for a spot in the eight come the end of this game, or to keep their season alive, depending on what happens earlier in the week. The Saints are much more likely to be fitting into the former of those categories; already a game ahead of the Demons heading into Round 7, they also have a much easier matchup earlier in the week, taking on the Giants in Melbourne in a game that they cannot take for granted, but which they will enter as favourites. Win that, and they will come into this game with a chance to go to 5-3.

The Demons, meanwhile, start Round 7 with a 2-4 record, and their first game of the week will see them endure one of the toughest matchups in the AFLW when they head to Adelaide to take on the Crows. If, as most expect, they lose that game, their season may well be over anyway, but if they lose this one as well it certainly will be. On the flip side, if they can somehow manage to knock off the Crows then this game will present as an opportunity to put themselves right back on the edge of the top eight after three consecutive wins. How this game shapes up may well change pending the results of these two teams earlier in the week, but more than likely the Saints will enter it in a better position. But ladder position is not everything. St. Kilda, despite their good start to the season, have dropped off significantly over the past few weeks, and while the Demons haven’t exactly found their best, they clearly have the capability to knock off the Saints if things click. Whether it is too little too late remains to be seen, but the Dees can win this one to either make it three on the trot, or two wins in three games.

Bookmaker	James’ Tip	Odds
	N/A	N/A
	N/A	N/A
	N/A	N/A

Predicted Squads

St. Kilda Saints: FB: N. Stevens, S. Watson HB: H. Priest, P. Trudgeon, B. Jakobsson C: M. McDonald, J. Lambert, D. Guttridge HF: G. Kelly, J. Wardlaw, J. Anderson FF: E. Friend, A. Richards Fol: S. Nalder, C. Simpson, T. Smith IC: A. Burke, K. Whiley, M. Boyd, N. Plane, E. Fiedler

Melbourne Demons: FB: G. Colvin, T. Gillard HB: M. Chaplin, D. Taylor, S. Goldrick C: S. Lampard, T. Hanks, E. McNamara HF: G. Gall, L. Mithen, A. Pisano FF: PA. Bannan, G. Campbell Fol: R. Watt, K. Hore, S. Heath IC: G. Hill. M. Fitzimon, L. Johnson, R. Wotherspoon, S. D’Arcy

The Giants have been better than their win/loss record would suggest this season, but given that they have not won a game since Round 1 heading into this week, that is not saying all that much. They have been close plenty of times; drawing with the Suns, losing to the Swans by three points, the Tigers by 11 and the Demons by 16, but they have simply not been good enough to get the job done a lot more often than not and the result is that they are heading towards another disappointing season. They have a chance to rectify that some on Tuesday night when they take on the Saints, but while they are some chance of causing an upset in that one, their second game for the week will be a lot more difficult.

The Crows have done very little wrong this season but still find themselves outside the top four, but with two games that they will be expecting to win coming this week that will very possibly change by Sunday night. After taking on the Demons in Adelaide on Wednesday they will have just four days to prepare for this one and will have to travel across to Sydney, but with the Giants having just a day extra break and also having to travel in between, that is not likely to bridge the fairly significant talent gap between these two teams. The Giants are generally competitive and have not been beaten by more than four goals this year – their percentage entering Round 7 is over 100 despite a 1-1-4 record -  but there is a good chance that will change in this game. The Crows should be far too strong, and can jump inside the top four – if they are not there already -with a strong win.

Bookmaker	James’ Tip	Odds
	N/A	N/A
	N/A	N/A
	N/A	N/A

Predicted Squads

Greater Western Sydney Giants: FB: P. Randall, K. Smith HB: C. Ransom, J. Grierson, E. Pease C: K. Srhoj, A. Eva, M. Brazendale HF: M. Pauga, G. Garnett, H. Zreika FF: Z. Goldsworthy, B. Mowbray Fol: E. O’Dowd, R. Beeson, A. Parker IC: M. Gaffney, A. Bradfield, J. Doyle, F. Davies, J. Ramsdale

Adelaide Crows: FB: Z. Prowse, C. Randall HB: K. Mueller, S. Allen, Goodwin C: N. Kelly, A. Hatchard, S. Thompson HF: T. Levy, C. Gould, R. Martin FF: C. Biddell, D. Ponter Fol: J. Allan, E. Marinoff, M. Newman IC: D. Varnhagen, K. Kustermann, L. Tarlinton, A. Boyle-Carr, B. Boileau

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